Thursday, January 29, 2015

Whole Foods and High Fences

So after one week of 80238 and our post on how Stapleton is in the top 1% of zip codes in income and education levels, I am proud to say that we have received close to 1,000 hits, but was disappointed that I only received two comments. However, of the two I did receive one from Christopher Gramkow caught my attention when he asked:


While the comment may have been tongue in cheek, it absolutely is a question that many in Stapleton have asked.  In fact, many in the neighborhood are beside themselves that plans for the new Eastbridge Town Center include a second King Soopers, rather than an upscale grocery like Whole Foods or a specialty grocery like Trader Joe's. 

Conversely, about a year ago if you took a stroll along 26th avenue, east of Westerly Creek and looked south you saw the old fence that divided Aurora and the airport with a sign asking a very different question:



There is actually one very plausible answer for both these questions, Stapleton is not only in the top 1% of zipcodes in the nation, it also borders zipcodes that are well below the national average in income and education. In fact, Stapleton might be one of the most socially and economically isolated zipcodes in the nation.

To help illustrate that point, let's go back to the Washington Post's Super Zip analysis and take a look at the zipcode on the other side of that fence - 80010.


You read it right, 80010 is in the bottom 10% of zipcodes in the nation with regard to education and income level.  Median income in 80010 is over $90K lower than 80238 and only 10% of adults have a college education.   While 80010 is an extreme example, the contrast with the bordering zips is still stark:

                                       Percentile 
Zipcode             Income and Education    Median Income     % Adults w/ College Degrees
80238                                 99%                   $122,817                          78%
80110                                 7%                     $31,248                            10%
80239                                 23%                   $44,597                            12%
80216                                 10%                   $31,073                            12%
80207                                 51%                   $51,347                            39%
80220                                 81%                   $63,207                            58%

The closest in percentile rank, 80220, has almost half the median income and 20% lower college degree rates than 80238, say nothing of the contrast with the other zips.   It is hard to argue with the statement that Stapleton is highly isolated from its neighbors, but as I said, it may be the most isolated zip among the top 1% of zips in the nation. 

For comparison sake, let's look at another super zip in the heart of the south, Birmingham, AL and zipcode 35223 where the income and education level are similar to Stapleton, placing it within the top 1%:


In Birmingham, the income and education levels in adjoining zipcodes to superzip 35223 are nowhere near as different as Stapleton and its neighbors:

                              Percentile
Zipcode         Income and Education       Median Income     % Adults w/College Degrees
35223                           99%                         $133,328                              79%
35213                           96%                         $94,302                                76%
35205                           44%                         $32,881                                41%
35209                           65%                         $47,544                                51%
35216                           70%                         $52,097                                52%
35243                           88%                         $71,779                                66%
35242                           93%                         $93,039                                59%
35210                           56%                         $53,136                                28%

In Alabama, one of the poorest states in our nation, the one and only 1% superzip has bordering zipcodes that are not much different than itself.   There is no question that there is severe poverty in Birmingham, but the people in 35223 don't see the contrast we see in the bordering neighborhoods of 80238.

I looked at other top 1% zipcodes in Minneapolis, St. Louis, New Jersey, Houston, etc. and none had as sharp a drop in incomes and education immediately outside its borders than 80238.

So, when we ask the question why we don't have a Whole Foods? It is probably because no one other than 80238ers can afford to shop there, making a Whole Foods in our neighborhood nonviable. Likewise, when we ask why the fence is still up between 80238 and 80010? Maybe it's because we feel more comfortable with it there. 

If the goal of the Green Book was to tear down fences and build a vibrant economy for Northeast Denver, we have to ask whether we are doing enough to that end.   Is it possible that the increasing economic vitality of our surrounding neighborhoods is in 80238's interest? Or do we believe that we need to build more fences to protect us from our neighbors?

80238 will begin to explore what we have done and are doing to realize the goal in the Green Book of an integrated community and what that might mean for Stapleton and Northeast Denver.

I encourage everyone who reads 80238 to chime in with your thoughts and comments.  I have removed the requirement that people register before commenting on the site in an effort to promote discussion.  So please tell me what you think and what other issues we should examine. You can follow the blog on Facebook at: https://www.facebook.com/80238blog or on Twitter @80238blog.

 . . .In case you were wondering, the 35223 zip in Birmingham, technically does not have a Whole Foods- but you can find one just down the road in 35243 in the Cahaba Village Plaza.  

Tuesday, January 20, 2015

Stapleton - We are the 1%

I will cut right to the chase. If the goal for Stapleton was to retain middle income families in Denver and have them contribute to the social fabric of Northeast Denver, an analysis conducted by the Washington Post examining education and income levels of the nation's zipcodes suggests that Stapleton may not have achieved that goal. In fact, Stapleton may be one of the most exclusive communities in the nation.



When first considering these issues and this blog - this visual from the Washington Post's web page on "Super Zip Codes" definitely caught my eye. Super zip codes are the 650 zipcodes in the country that rank between the 95th and 99th percentile in median income and percent of adults with college degrees. The data are collected from the American Community Survey of the US Census

Stapleton, in fact, is one of approximately 130 zip codes that are in the 99th percentile or the top 1% of zip codes in the nation in terms of median income and education level. With a median household income of almost $123,000.00 per year and 78% of adults with a college degree, Stapleton is among some pretty elite company to include the likes of:

Zip___ City            _________                        Median Income____% College Grads 
94707   Berkeley, CA                                     $130,000                             83%
94129   San Francisco (near the Presidio)        $118,000                             82%
02110   Downtown Boston, MA                       $123,000                              78%
10069   Upper West Side of Manhattan            $165,000                              92%

By this measure (and indeed it is just one measure), Stapleton has become one of the most elite zip codes in the nation. A far cry from the original vision in the Green Book of creating a neighborhood that would retain middle income families in Denver.

Despite the best laid plans of the Green Book, we should ask whether having 80238 be one of the most economically and educationally advantaged zipcodes in the nation is necessarily a bad thing for Northeast Denver? Is it possible that the surrounding neighborhoods are benefiting from 80238 or does the contrast in education and income levels exacerbate the very problems Stapleton was designed to remedy?  These are the questions we will explore in this blog.

Next time, we will look beyond the boundaries of Stapleton to the zip codes that border 80238. We will consider how those neighborhoods compare with Stapleton and other similar communities throughout the nation. We will also examine whether the contrast in income and education levels between Stapleton and the surrounding community is common place around the country or an anomaly.





80238 - Looking at the issues of social and economic equity through the lens of one community

I have been contemplating a blog that looks at the issues of economic and racial equity through the lens of my own neighborhood and the neighborhoods surrounding it in Northeast Denver. After a tumultuous fall where the issues of racial and economic equity have taken on a new tone because of Ferguson, MO and New York, I am beginning in earnest.

The blog's title, 80238, is the zip code of my neighborhood, known as Stapleton in Denver, Colorado. Why is Stapleton an appropriate lens for looking at the issues of racial and economic equity in the US?  Stapleton is a very unique American community, located on the site of the old Stapleton International Airport in Denver - it represents one of the larger infill redevelopment projects in the nation.

Envisioned in the Stapleton Development Plan or "Green Book", as it is called by locals, Stapleton is to be a "place of economic, social and environmental innovation" that is intended to be a model of urban development. The plan is for Stapleton to be fully integrated into the surrounding community. The language in the development plan describes how "Stapleton has been a fenced and secured island for two-thirds of a century" . . . that, along with the Rocky Mountain Arsenal site to the north and the Lowry Air Force base to the south, "created enormous holes in the urban fabric of Northeast Denver." As a result the vision is to reunite Stapleton to the adjacent neighborhoods in Denver, Aurora and Commerce City.

A primary goal of the Green Book was for Stapleton to retain middle income families by ensuring a diversity of housing prices, strong schools and public amenities like parks and recreational facilities. Doing so would add to the tax base and revitalize public institutions.

Fifteen years since the release of the Green Book and 12 years since the first houses were occupied in Stapleton, it is time to may be time to ask:

  • Has Stapleton achieved its vision to be integrated into the surrounding community and a place for middle income families to be retained in Denver?  
  • How do we measure whether Stapleton has filled the hole in the urban fabric of Northeast Denver? 
  • What has been achieved and how has it fallen short? 
  • Is integration with the larger community still an important goal to the people of Stapleton?  
  • If so, how can Stapleton realize the vision?
  • If not, what does it say about Stapleton as a "model urban development" and the future of Northeast Denver?

While offering no absolute answers to these questions - I will explore them and invite those who read to offer their insights on the past, present and future of 80238.

I look forward to writing and encourage you to join in the discussion.  Feel free to comment on the blog and share your ideas on the issues in Stapleton and the larger issues we will explore here. In encourage you to follow the 80238 twitter feed @80238blog or the facebook page at: https://www.facebook.com/80238blog.

I look forward to seeing what we learn.